Free Snapshot
Delayed weekly market snapshot for trust building.
- Limited key prices
- Basic red meat market signal
- Data-source transparency page
- Public market note
Not included: calculators, PDF downloads, full trends, saved scenarios.
Know the market before you sell.
RedMeat Signal SA converts South African beef, weaner, feed, slaughter, and market-risk data into clear weekly signals for cattle producers, buyers, and backgrounders.
Source status, market price discipline, and risk context will appear after live data loads.
Cattle producers often rely on fragmented market updates, auction rumours, agent opinions, and delayed price tables. RedMeat Signal SA brings the key indicators into one place and translates them into practical sell, hold, and buy signals.
Use the weekly market signal to sense-check offers, weaner buying levels, feed-cost pressure, and cattle marketing timing before committing stock or cash.
RedMeat Signal SA tracks source age, verification status, and confidence for each indicator. Stale or fallback values are shown visibly instead of hidden.
Delayed weekly market snapshot and data-source transparency.
Full weekly dashboard, sell or hold tool, reports, and historical trends.
Weaner buying discipline, margin tools, scenarios, and feed pressure.
Coming soon — feedlot margin tools, break-even calculators, CSV export.
Current week, data health, and primary decision-support recommendation will appear after source checks complete.
Prices refresh from source-backed market rows where available. Stale, manual, and fallback values are labelled instead of hidden.
A practical red meat market read for producers and buyers. It frames price discipline, risk, and timing. It is not a guaranteed forecast.
Get an AI-powered read on current conditions, timing, and decisions — uses live market data and your pattern analysis results.
Every signal should be traceable to a source, cadence and age. Stale manual inputs are treated as a risk flag.
Use these analogs to explain how similar shocks have moved through the meat market before.
Source: rmis.co.za/prices ↗ (ABSA National Livestock Prices, updated Thursday)
Compare the current year’s monthly prices against the previous 3 years for each class. Shows whether 2026 is running above or below prior years.
Typical month-by-month price pattern (index: 1.0 = annual average). Shows when prices historically peak and trough so you can time sales. The red dot marks the current month.
Read from RMIS Prices ↗ (ABSA data, Thursday) · AMT Weekly ↗ · RMIS Slaughter ↗. Leave blank if not available. Saved entries override the chart baseline.
| Field | Where to find it | RMIS label |
|---|---|---|
| A2/A3 Ox | RMIS Prices or AMT article | Cattle — Class A |
| A2 Heifer | RMIS Prices | Cattle — Class A (heifer subset) |
| AB2 | RMIS Prices | Cattle — Class AB |
| B2 (2-tooth) | RMIS Prices | Cattle — Class B |
| C2 / C3 Cow | RMIS Prices or AMT | Cattle — Class C |
| Weaners | RMIS Prices or AMT | Weaner Calf |
| Heads slaughtered | RMIS Slaughter Stats | Weekly cattle head count |
Your entered weekly/monthly observations. These blend with the historical baseline in all charts above.
| Date | A2 Ox | A3 Ox | A2 Heif | Heads | AB2 | B2 | C2 | C3 | D2 | Weaners | Notes |
|---|
| Period | SA beef change | Main Driver | Global Export |
|---|
The engine scans 50 years of SA beef price history to find the periods most similar to the current trend window. It then projects a sensitivity band showing where prices went after each matched period — a historically-grounded probability envelope, not a forecast.
Correlation coefficient (r) between each variable's annual % change and SA beef price's annual % change. Lag 0 = same year; Lag 1 = variable leads beef by 1 year (predictive); Lag 2 = 2-year lead.
| Variable | r (Lag 0) | r (Lag 1 — predictive) | r (Lag 2) | Interpretation |
|---|
Average % change in SA beef price during years when events of each category occurred.
| Category | Events | Avg Beef Change % | Signal |
|---|
Adjust inputs to frame the current market. This estimates directional pressure from historic relationships; it is not an exact price forecast.
Check any event types currently active or expected in the near term:
Track new events and price observations as they happen. Recent high-impact entries feed into the scenario pressure signal and build your own evidence log.
No entries yet. Log your first event above.
Cycle analysis, seasonal positioning and 12-month scenario outlook — updated from live price data.
The ratio of weaner live price to A3 carcass price is the primary SA cattle cycle indicator.
| 🔴 > 0.70 | Expensive — correction risk within 12 months |
| 🟡 0.58–0.70 | Neutral — fair value, market in balance |
| 🟢 < 0.58 | Cheap — buy/hold signal, herd rebuild phase |
Based on 11 years of SA price data. Red = historically weak (autumn flush). Green = historically strong. Current month highlighted.
Four scenarios weighted by probability. Seasonal index applied month-by-month. Base A3: — R/kg carc. Scenario prices below are illustrative — adjust sliders to your own market view.
| Month | Season Index | Prob-Weighted A3 | Hard Corr | Base | Bull | Super | vs Current | Signal |
|---|
Methodology: W:A3 signal uses 11-year SA price history (Jan 2015–Apr 2026). Seasonal indices from AVERAGEIF(month) ÷ overall average — same formula as the SA Beef DataModel Excel. Analogues match current W:A3, YoY momentum and seasonal position against closest prior year.
Compare a current cattle offer against market benchmarks and holding costs before deciding whether selling or holding is more sensible.
Benchmark selection uses current AMT live market rows where available. If data is stale or missing, the result warns instead of forcing a decision.
Calculate the maximum weaner price you can afford to pay before margin disappears.
Understand the indicators that shape the weekly red meat market signal.
Structured weekly reporting for market decisions, board packs, and price discipline.
Start free, then unlock decision tools when the product is connected to your weekly workflow.
Delayed weekly market snapshot for trust building.
Not included: calculators, PDF downloads, full trends, saved scenarios.
For commercial beef farmers selling weaners, cull cows, or slaughter-ready cattle.
For cattle buyers, backgrounders, traders, and producers buying in weaners.
Coming soon for feedlot and professional users.
RedMeat Signal SA tracks the age, source, and confidence status of each market indicator. Where a value is stale, missing, manually entered, or conflicting between sources, the dashboard flags it visibly instead of hiding the issue.
| Metric | Value | Source | Source Date | Last Checked | Age | Status | Confidence | Notes |
|---|
Signals are calculated indicators and scenario outlooks. They are decision-support, not guaranteed predictions.
A2/A3 beef, C-grade cow prices, weaners, maize/feed pressure, slaughter pressure, disease risk, seasonal risk, and macro pressure such as USD/ZAR, oil, and inflation.
The app combines observed market values, week-on-week movement, price ratios, seasonal position, input-cost pressure, and source reliability to generate general sell, hold, buy, and caution signals.
Each metric is labelled fresh, ageing, stale, missing, manual, verified, conflict, or demo. Stale and fallback values remain visible so users can judge the risk.
Observed data comes from source rows or stored datasets. Calculated indicators are ratios and changes. Scenario outlooks are directional and should be stress-tested against your own costs.
RedMeat Signal SA provides market information, calculated indicators, and general decision-support signals based on available South African red meat market data. The platform does not provide personalised financial, investment, legal, tax, or farm-specific consulting advice. Users remain responsible for their own cattle marketing, buying, and selling decisions. Market data may be delayed, incomplete, revised, or subject to source limitations.
Seasonal position, marketing signal and feedlot break-even — grounded in current market data.
Enter your actual costs to find the minimum beef price you need to cover expenses.
Enter inputs and click Calculate.
Tip: Defaults use benchmark sale weights where available, 56% dressing and 5:1 conversion. Change them to your own lot performance before buying.
Aggregated realised farm-sale prices and weights from the benchmark workbook. This improves assumption checking, but it is not a live market quote.
Loading benchmark sales data...
The ratio of weaner live-weight price to A3 ox carcass price indicates cycle position. Below 0.58 = cheap (buy signal); 0.58–0.65 = fair value; above 0.65 = expensive (correction risk).
Check these every week before making buy/sell decisions.